75th Academy Awards - Who Will Win? Who Should Win?Feb 12 '03 (Updated Mar 16 '03) Write an essay on this topic.
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Another year, another Academy Award extravaganza. Who will win? Who should win? Does anyone really care anymore? First, I should note that in spite of kristinafhs contest, I wont be giving my selections for all the categories. As Im sure you know, not everyone in the Academy gets to vote for everything, and theres a good reason for that. In my case (and in theirs, sort of) theres no reason to think I know what Im talking about as far as several categories go, and thats coming from me, and I know me pretty well. Sound (the movie version) is something I think Im a fair judge of, but the difference between really great sound, and the best of the year is a distinction Im not willing to make. The best costume design, as opposed to merely really good costume design, is something that, frankly, I couldnt care less about. So, we wont be looking at all the possible categories here. Many a better person than I will post their predictions, and as far as those categories go, they will be far more justified in doing so. Also, I always make two picks, in a way. What I think will win, and what should win. Just for fun. Of course, thats what should win within the context of what was nominated. What really should win, as is almost always the case, wasnt nominated. That said, this is the year of hype, and when youre talking about the Academy Awards, thats saying something. Even more than any other recent year, the nominations this year are almost completely a result of hype. You could have guessed almost every nomination without even seeing a movie this year. In fact, you could have guessed almost all of them in October, before most everything with a nomination was released. Also (again), I liked this year a lot. There were really a lot of great movies, and most of the really good stuff eluded the nominations. Well go in a somewhat backward fashion as per Academy Award ideals. Animated Feature Film Nominees Ice Age Lilo & Stitch Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron Spirited Away Treasure Planet This is a good place to start, because its fairly amusing. There is more than one nominee in this category only due to some sort of politeness requirement. Nominating only the one thing being considered bad form. None of these movies have any real business being nominated except Spirited Away, apart from the mere fact that they are animated films. It will and should win. Writing (Adapted Screenplay) Nominees About A Boy Adaptation Chicago The Hours The Pianist First, the fact that Adaptation is nominated here confuses me. I think we might be stretching ideas here. Chicago is a little confusing as well, though in different ways. Best Adaptation is a tricky thing really. Different people have different views on what that means, and what it should mean. Its so tricky, in fact, that there isnt much use commenting on things much. Theres too much to say. Too much to question. Should win - The Hours Will win - The Hours I will say that I like About A Boy getting nominated. Writing (Original Screenplay) Nominees Far From Heaven Gangs of New York My Big Fat Greek Wedding Talk to Her Y Tu Mama Tambien Again, this is a tricky category. In some sense, this category simply means best story (sort of), and in that sense Far From Heaven is the only one that even deserves the nomination (alright, maybe Talk to Her). In another sense (or other senses), well, it means other things. Should Win - Far From Heaven Will Win - I actually lean a bit toward Far From Heaven as actually getting it, but I think it will probably be Gangs of New York. Best Supporting Actress Nominees Kathy Bates - About Schmidt Julianne Moore The Hours Queen Latifah Chicago Meryl Streep Adaptation Catherine Zeta-Jones Chicago I actually have no great feelings about any of these nominations. Should win I cant find a serious position here. Will win Julianne Moore Best Actress Nominees Salma Hayek Frida Nicole Kidman The Hours Diane Lane Unfaithful Julianne Moore Far From Heaven Rene Zellweger Chicago Assuming we can dispense with the Diane Lane silliness, this is the category where the real competition is (as others have said already). There are actually good choices here. Should win Nicole Kidman Will win Nicole Kidman Best Supporting Actor Nominees Chris Cooper Adaptation Ed Harris The Hours Paul Newman Road to Perdition John C. Reilly Chicago Christopher Walken Catch Me If You Can Im not sure that Im in any better place here than I was with Supporting Actress, apart from the pretty firm belief that Paul Newman shouldnt get it. Hes just not that good in the movie. Should win Its a bit of a toss-up between Cooper and Harris Will win Ed Harris Best Actor Nominees Adrien Brody The Pianist Nicolas Cage Adaptation Michael Caine The Quiet American Daniel Day-Lewis Gangs of New York Jack Nicholson About Schmidt Theres a fair amount of legitimacy, on the whole, to these choices. Decent nominations. Should win Daniel Day Lewis Will win I have my suspicions this is where Michael Caine gets a nod Cinematography Nominees Chicago Far From Heaven Gangs of New York The Pianist Road to Perdition As a movie entire youve got to throw Road to Perdition out. Whatever else you can say about it though, and though there is some decent competition, Road to Perdition has the best cinematography of the year. Thats even going beyond the nominations, as I wouldnt dare in most categories. Should win Road to Perdition Will win Chicago, though there is a slight bit of hope that it might actually go to who should get it. Direction Nominees Rob Marshall Chicago Martin Scorsese Gangs of New York Stephen Daldry The Hours Roman Polanski The Pianist Pedro Almodovar Talk to Her Quite frankly, I dont like these choices at all. There are several movies more worthy of the nod this year than some of these. Should win Polanski Will win I have to go with Rob Marshall, but this is the hypest category of a hype-driven year, so who can tell. Best Picture Chicago Gangs of New York The Hours The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers The Pianist What is there to say that hasnt been said? Except that I would have nominated some different things, but actually thats been said before as well. Should win The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers Will win Chicago And that's it. I know what you're thinking. Lord of the Rings?! Well, let's be serious. Look at those movies. An epic fantasy, and the second of a trilogy no less, and a musical. Thrown in a semi-biographical drama piece, and a couple of movies that shouldn't have been nominated anyway. How am I supposed to compare those movies to each other? Well, since I can't make any sense of doing it anyway, I have to pick what I think is the best movie. I may pick it, but that doesn't mean I think it means much. Cheers! |
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