Nick's 77th Academy Award PredictionsMar 8, 2005 Write an essay on this topic.
The Bottom Line Here's my official predix for the 77th Academy Awards I moved...I missed one: BEST DIRECTOR.
Sunday (2-27-05) is the Oscar telecast honoring the best achievements in film for 2004. And, boy, have there been some life-changing films. A select few films broke out of no where and proclaimed themselves to be the best of the year toward the end of the year. Thus, the Academy has real tough decisions to make this year in many categories, including best picture. I believe they will compensate by "spreading the wealth" come Oscar time.
I honestly believe some excellent films such as "The Passion of the Christ", "Hotel Rwanda", and "Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera" should have received more major nominations, besides for mere technical work. And I also believe that if the most underrated film of the year, "The Alamo", had been released in December as it had previously been suppose to last year, it would have gotten a slew of nominations.
But enough bickering from me.
The Academy has, for the most part, chosen the best of the 2004 releases. "Million Dollar Baby" is the main film that I hope, and believe, will triumph Sunday night. This emotional film stays with you long after you left the theatre, so that has to be a good thing when voters are marking their ballots. Clint Eastwood's film received 7 nominations in major categories and will probably walk away with some top prizes.
Its only challenger is Martin Scorsese's "The Aviator" which will also receive some recognition, especially since it nabbed 11 nominations. These two films are vastly different, but both are done by the greatest directors in the business. Thus, the best picture and director categories will be the toughest to call this year.
Without further ado, I present to you my predictions of who will win the Oscar and who should win the Oscar in the major categories.
Should Win: Million Dollar Baby
Will Win: Million Dollar Baby
A powerful, moving film about two souls. Nothing more, nothing less. I do not see how the Academy will vote against it. It is truly up there on my list of the most life-changing and powerful films of the year. If there's an upset, it will be "The Aviator", and I have a feeling that will disappoint many people, including me.
Should Win: Martin Scorsese - The Aviator
Will Win: Martin Scorsese - The Aviator
Will the Academy finally award this great director? I think so. This is certainly not his best film, but it's Scorsese, people, who is long overdue for an Oscar. Honestly, is Scorsese's direction better than Clint Eastwood's in "Million Dollar Baby"? Before you answer that, let me toss in another question: Who deserves the Oscar more? Let's do some catching up.
Should Win: Jamie Foxx - Ray
Will Win: Jamie Foxx - Ray
Foxx is marvelous as the legendary Ray Charles. With all the recognition and accolades he had been receiving, it's easy to disregard him and long for someone else to take the glory. But he honestly deserves it. However, I will not be disappointed if actor Clint Eastwood or Don Cheadle take this.
Should Win: Hilary Swank - Million Dollar Baby
Will Win: Hilary Swank - Million Dollar Baby
Not a strong category. Hilary Swank will beat Annette Bening for the second time in the past couple of years for the Best Actress Oscar. And this time, she deserves it. If you've seen "Million Dollar Baby", you can't argue with me.
Best Supporting Actor
Should Win: Thomas Hayden Church - Sideways
Will Win: Morgan Freeman - Million Dollar Baby
The only top category that won't go how I want it. That's okay, because Freeman certainly deserves an Oscar by now. Church just had that great, hilarious, scene-stealing sidekick role that audiences like. Will the Academy go for the best performance or rectify their wrongs in the past once again? Boy, according to me, "Million Dollar Baby is going to clean up.
Best Supporting Actress
Should Win: Cate Blanchett - The Aviator
Will Win: Cate Blanchett - The Aviator
Another crowd-pleasing role. I haven't seen Portman in "Closer", yet she may upset. I didn't see what was so great about Madsen in "Sideways". Also, Okonedo was great in "Hotel Rwanda". This category is ripe for an upset.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Should Win: Sideways
Will Win: Sideways
Remember "Lost in Translation"?
Best Original Screenplay
Should Win: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Will Win: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
The best screenplay of the year will be recognized by arguably one of the greatest screenwriters of my time: Charlie Kaufman. This may be a highlight for me come Oscar night.
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