|
|
Should, Will, and Snubbed: Predictions for the 78th Academy AwardsMar 04 '06 Write an essay on this topic.The Bottom Line Watch the Oscars on Sunday night and come back here to tell me how bad I did! Here are my Predictions for the 78th Annual Academy Awards This list includes the nominees that I think will win, the nominees that deserve to win, and the best non-nominated performance/film from that category. BEST PICTURE "Brokeback Mountain" "Capote" "Crash" "Good Night, and Good Luck" "Munich" Should Win: Brokeback Mountain moving tale of love, longing, and regret is far and away the best film of the year, and will go down in history as one of the classic films of this era. Will Win: When they hand Brokeback Mountain the Oscar this year, it will be the third consecutive year that the Oscars got this category completely right. Snubbed: Me and You and Everyone We Know was cute without being cloying, funny without being silly, and romantic without being sappy. It avoided every possible misstep that independent quirky romantic comedies usually make. DIRECTOR Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain" Bennett Miller, "Capote" Paul Haggis, "Crash" George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck" Steven Spielberg, "Munich" Should Win: No need to separate director from movie here, as Ang Lee's fingerprints are all over his masterpeice. Will Win: Lee is even more of a lock than his film. What I mean by that is if Brokeback has a 99.998% chance of winning,t hen Lee has a 99.999% chance. Snubbed: Stephen Gaghan proved with Traffic that he could write complex multi-character political dramas. With Syriana, he also proved he can direct them, confidently moving through the various storylines and never once getting lost. ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote" Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow" Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain" Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line" David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck" Should Win: Heath Ledger's complex, introverted performance in Brokeback Mountain was an absolutely moving work of art. I'd also be extremely happy with a David Strathairn victory, though. Will Win: Complex, introverted performances usually don't win Oscars (sorry Peter Fonda). It usually takes a showy performance and Philip Seymour Hoffman's admittedly strong work as Truman Capote certainly fits that bill. Snubbed: Lots of great performances in this category got ignored this year (Ledger and Strathairn are the only nominees that made my personal list), but the biggest ommission was Viggo Mortenson's restrained, yet entirely convincing portrait of a killer-turned-family man. Steve Carell amd Eric Bana also should have been here. ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica" Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice" Charlize Theron, "North Country" Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line" Should Win: Keira Knightley's cheerful, winning portrayal of Jane Austen's heroine was the most purely entertaining performance of the year. Will Win: Another one of the most purely entertaining performances was by Reese Witherspoon, who will surely walk away with an Oscar this year. Too bad it's for a terrible movie. Snubbed: Miranda July not only wrote and directed the unfairly overlooked Me and You and Everyone We Know, but she gave the stunningly original performance at the heart of the movie. ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE George Clooney, "Syriana" Matt Dillon, "Crash" Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man" Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain" William Hurt, "A History of Violence" Should Win: Despite an upset win at the BAFTA's, Jake Gyllenhaal's performance has been unfairly overlooked during Awards season and received some bewildering criticism. I don't quite understand. Without Jack, there is no Ennis. Ennis's final line is so powerful because Gyllenhaal has made Jack a character worth remembering. Will Win: This is a tough category, and at least three people have a shot to win (Clooney, Giamatti, and Gyllenhaal), but George Clooney has won most of the pre-Oscar awards and I expect Hollywood to give their new king his first Oscar. Snubbed: Chiwetel Ejiofor's calmly menacing performance in Serenity created the best villain of the year. ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Amy Adams, "Junebug" Catherine Keener, "Capote" Frances McDormand, "North Country" Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener" Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain" Should Win: Keener gave the best performance of the year int his category, but that was for a different movie (The 40 Year Old Virgin). Therefore, I'd have to go with Amy Adams, whose emotional performance was so heartbreaking that you just want to give her a hug. Will Win: I've been doubting her all along, but Rachel Weisz has won every major pre-Oscar award and I expect her to win the Oscar. Her main competitors are Amy Adams (who could be the MArcia Gay Harden indie darling of this year) or Michelle Williams (who could get carried along by Best Picture Brokeback Mountain). Snubbed: The unfortunate snub of Maria Bello's performance in a History of Violence is even more annoying because the OScars decided to nominate co-star William Hurt's hammy 10 minute performance (which was only the 5th best performance in the movie). This is also the 2nd time she was overlooked, as she should have previously been nominated for The Cooler. ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash" George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck" Woody Allen, "Match Point" Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale" Stephen Gaghan, "Syriana" Should Win: Syriana Will Win: Crash Snubbed: Me and You and Everyone We Know ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain" Dan Futterman, "Capote" Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener" Josh Olsen, "A History of Violence" Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich" Should Win: Brokeback Mountain Will Win: Brokeback Mountain Snubbed: Pride and Prejudice FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM "Don't Tell" (Italy) "Joyeux Noël" (France) "Paradise Now" (Palestine) "Sophie Scholl" (Germany) "Tsotsi" (South Africa) Will Win: Joyeux Noel ANIMATED FEATURE "Howl's Moving Castle" "Tim Burton's Corpse Bride" "Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit" Should Win: Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit Will Win: Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit Snubbed: Deciding to only nominate/honor one movie. FILM EDITING Mike Hill and Dan Hanley, "Cinderella Man" Claire Simpson, "The Constant Gardener" Hughes Winborne, "Crash" Michael Kahn, "Munich" Michael McCusker, "Walk the Line" Should Win: Munich Will Win: Crash Snubbed: Um, Brokeback Mountain, YOU STUPID IDIOTS ORIGINAL SCORE Gustavo Santaolalla, "Brokeback Mountain" Alberto Iglesias, "The Constant Gardener" John Williams, "Memoirs of a Geisha" John Williams, "Munich" Dario Marianelli, "Pride & Prejudice" Should Win: Brokeback Mountain Will Win: Brokeback Mountain Snubbed: King Kong ORIGINAL SONG "In the Deep" from "Crash" "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow" "Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica" Should Win: Don't Care Will Win: "In the Deep", Crash Snubbed: Not deciding to abandon this category forever. ART DIRECTION Jim Bissell and Jan Pascale, "Good Night, and Good Luck" Stuart Craig and Stephenie McMillan, "Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire" Grant Major, Dan Hennah and Simon Bright, "King Kong" John Myhre and Gretchen Rau, "Memoirs of a Geisha" Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer, "Pride & Prejudice" Should Win: King Kong Will Win: King Kong Snubbed: Sin City CINEMATOGRAPHY Wally Pfister, "Batman Begins" Rodrigo Prieto, "Brokeback Mountain" Robert Elswit, "Good Night, and Good Luck" Dion Beebe, "Memoirs of a Geisha" Emmanuel Lubezki, "The New World" Should Win: Brokeback Mountain Will Win: Good Night and Good Luck Snubbed: A History of Violence COSTUME DESIGN Gabriella Pescucci, "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory" Colleen Atwood, "Memoirs of a Geisha" Sandy Powell, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" Jacqueline Durran, "Pride & Prejudice" Arianne Phillips, "Walk the Line" Should Win: Pride and Prejudice Will Win: Memoirs of a Geisha Snubbed: King Kong MAKEUP Howard Berger and Tami Lane, "The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe" David Leroy and Lance Anderson, "Cinderella Man" Dave Elsey and Annette Miles, "Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith" Should Win: Uhhhhhh Will Win: Uhhhhhh Snubbed: Sin City DOCUMENTARY FEATURE "Darwin's Nightmare" "Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room" "March of the Penguins" "Murderball" "Street Fight" Should Win: March of the Penguins Will Win: March of the Penguins Snubbed: The Wild Parrots of Telegraph Hill SOUND MIXING Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson, "The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe" Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael Hedges and Hammond Peek, "King Kong" Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick Kline and John Pritchett, "Memoirs of a Geisha" Paul Massey, D. M. Hemphill and Peter F. Kurland, "Walk the Line" Andy Nelson, Anne Behlmer and Ronald Judkins, "War of the Worlds" Should Win: War of the Worlds Will Win: King Kong Snubbed: Munich SOUND EDITING Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn, "King Kong" Wylie Stateman, "Memoirs of a Geisha" Richard King, "War of the Worlds" Should Win: War of the Worlds Will Win: King Kong Snubbed: Serenity VISUAL EFFECTS Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott Farrar, "The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe" Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers and Richard Taylor, "King Kong" Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra and Daniel Sudick, "War of the Worlds" Should Win: King Kong Will Win: King Kong Snubbed: Serenity  |
| Read all comments (4)|Write your own comment |
|
Ads by Google
|
by dangbro by Stephen_Murray by jeff_wilder78
